Blog Category: News

September #4 Trade News: Interest rates, Turkey, Canada Mexico & Trade missions

Interest rates impact FDI because high interest rates mean debt becomes more expensive. Expensive borrowed capital may lead to borrowers being discouraged due to higher costs. As the cost of greenfield projects increase, less foreign investors may pursue an interest or wait until the cost of debt decreases, when the project may become more affordable to complete, and yield a higher return of investment. Currently, interest rates are at record highs globally to stem inflation which is also at record breaking levels. One major source of FDI is expansion of existing projects. With higher interest rates and higher financing costs, extension or increased investment may not be viable or paused until the cost of debt decreases. Interest rates are expected to decrease in 2024.

September #3 Trade News: UK, Turkey, Oman, EU, Mercosur, Mexico, Middle East India, Australia, Vietnam, Denmark

The UK Foreign Secretary James Cleverly recently travelled to Ankara Turkey to discuss a refresh of the UK Turkey free trade agreement signed in 2020 which currently only covers goods. UK Turkey bilateral trade in 2022 was worth almost £24 billion in the four quarters to 1Q23. and is up around 20% year over year. UK exports to Turkey are around £9 billion whilst UK imports from Turkey are around £15 billion. Turkey’s top export good to the UK is vehicles, machinery and textiles. UK’s top exports to Turkey are gold, combustion engines and metal. The Turkish press release mentioned the new agreement would be focused on digital trade and services. Turkey is the UK’s 18th largest trading partner.

September #2 Trade News: Taiwan, UK, BRICS, Argentina, Midwest in Japan, Vietnam, Australia

The UK Government has purchased a pavilion at 2023 SEMICON event in Taiwan and sponsored a delegation of 19 businesses to showcase the UK’s semiconductor capacity at the event. The businesses will showcase design, software and methods at SEMICON. The UK published its semiconductor strategy in May which committed £1 billion investment over the next decade in R&D, IP and chip design. Taiwan is the world’s top semiconductor manufacturing country. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company makes microchips for Intel, Apple, AMD, Nvidia, and Qualcomm. South Korea is the second largest producing nation as it makes chips for Samsung. Taiwan is seeking a trade deal with Europe and Europe finds Taiwan useful as a partner to work with under the European Chips Act, however Taiwan is looking for a bilateral investment agreement which is not forthcoming.

September #1 Trade News: Ireland, Gulf, India, US, China

India is chairing the G20 this year under the theme ‘One Earth, One Family, One Future.’ Trade and investment ministers met in Jaipur this week to discuss digitising trade, SME inclusion in international trade, and the reform of the World Trade Organization. Business and Trade Secretary Kemi Badenoch attended and launched ‘Alive with Opportunity,’ a £1.5 million marketing campaign designed to build on the UK and India’s relationship and as part of the goal to bilateral double trade with India by 2030. India has grown to the world’s fifth largest economy, from below tenth place a decade ago. The meeting was attended by 300 ministers and delegation representatives. Indian Prime Minister Modi proposed to include the African Union in the G20. The G20 countries represent around 85% of global trade in terms of value.

August #4 Trade News: G20, UK Vietnam, BRICS, Greece, Philippines, India

India is chairing the G20 this year under the theme ‘One Earth, One Family, One Future.’ Trade and investment ministers met in Jaipur this week to discuss digitising trade, SME inclusion in international trade, and the reform of the World Trade Organization. Business and Trade Secretary Kemi Badenoch attended and launched ‘Alive with Opportunity,’ a £1.5 million marketing campaign designed to build on the UK and India’s relationship and as part of the goal to bilateral double trade with India by 2030. India has grown to the world’s fifth largest economy, from below tenth place a decade ago. The meeting was attended by 300 ministers and delegation representatives. Indian Prime Minister Modi proposed to include the African Union in the G20. The G20 countries represent around 85% of global trade in terms of value.

August #3 Trade News: Advanced Supply Chain, Sri Lanka, Chile, Nicaragua, China, Saudi, New Jersey, Panama, Coventry, FDI ranks

India China trade is down almost 1% in the first half of 2023 with China’s overall foreign trade dropping 5% in the same period. Exports were down 12.4% to June 2023 compared with the same period in 2021. Trade in goods is down 56m with the US in the first 5 months of 2023 compared to the same period last year. The US is China’s largest trading partner. UK exports to China were up 37.7% in 2022 whilst imports were up only 10% in the same period. The EU’s imports from China were down in 2022 while exports remained flat.

August #2 Trade News: India, Dubai, Saudi, Egypt, Turkey, Nigeria, Kuwait & Australia

India China trade is down almost 1% in the first half of 2023 with China’s overall foreign trade dropping 5% in the same period. Exports were down 12.4% to June 2023 compared with the same period in 2021. Trade in goods is down 56m with the US in the first 5 months of 2023 compared to the same period last year. The US is China’s largest trading partner. UK exports to China were up 37.7% in 2022 whilst imports were up only 10% in the same period. The EU’s imports from China were down in 2022 while exports remained flat.

August #1 Trade News: Egypt, Saudi, India, Vietnam, Africa, Israel, South Korea

India China trade is down almost 1% in the first half of 2023 with China’s overall foreign trade dropping 5% in the same period. Exports were down 12.4% to June 2023 compared with the same period in 2021. Trade in goods is down 56m with the US in the first 5 months of 2023 compared to the same period last year. The US is China’s largest trading partner. UK exports to China were up 37.7% in 2022 whilst imports were up only 10% in the same period. The EU’s imports from China were down in 2022 while exports remained flat.

July #4 Trade News: Mercosur, Turkey, Netherlands, Houston, UK, Spain

India China trade is down almost 1% in the first half of 2023 with China’s overall foreign trade dropping 5% in the same period. Exports were down 12.4% to June 2023 compared with the same period in 2021. Trade in goods is down 56m with the US in the first 5 months of 2023 compared to the same period last year. The US is China’s largest trading partner. UK exports to China were up 37.7% in 2022 whilst imports were up only 10% in the same period. The EU’s imports from China were down in 2022 while exports remained flat.

July #3 Trade News: China, Israel Arab, Twitter, Illinois, Philippines, Turkey

India China trade is down almost 1% in the first half of 2023 with China’s overall foreign trade dropping 5% in the same period. Exports were down 12.4% to June 2023 compared with the same period in 2021. Trade in goods is down 56m with the US in the first 5 months of 2023 compared to the same period last year. The US is China’s largest trading partner. UK exports to China were up 37.7% in 2022 whilst imports were up only 10% in the same period. The EU’s imports from China were down in 2022 while exports remained flat.

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